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Key Issues … Agriculture

Future climate change scenarios predict a decrease in wheat and maize yields in Egypt threatening national grain production, which is already short of meeting local demand. Conversely, the seed cotton yield is expected to gradually increase. Vulnerability of crops to changes in pest infestation and plant diseases is another potential impact of climate variability. The images below illustrate the damaged caused by blight to potato crops in Giza resulting from little variation in temperature and humidity.

Infected Fields Healthy Fields

Planting different wheat and maize cultivars, as well as changing crop choices in the Egyptian agricultural product mix are among possible adaptation strategies to climate variability. The following chart provides an estimate of the expected change in major crop production in Egypt by the year 2050 due to climate change.

Expected change in major crop production in Egypt by 2050